Previously, we looked at retail trading data and found that negative retail sentiment was a better buy signal than postive retail sentiment. If it is profitable to do the opposite of what retail traders are doing, an obvious next step is to look into institutional investor holdings. Institutional investors are obliged to report their holdings on […]
How To Make Money Fading Retail Traders
The past couple of years has seen a surge in retail trading which is affecting the market in a real way. People were stuck at home because of the pandemic. Add stimulus checks and volatility and you have the perfect ingredients for an increase in retail trading. Data from Bloomberg Intelligence backs up this theory. […]
Can You Make Money Buying Just Before Earnings?
Did you know that in 2020, 63% of quarterly earnings releases beat their estimates? That’s slightly higher than the 20 year average of 58%. Even in turbulent years like 2008, earnings surprises still tended to be positive on average. Everyone knows the game. An analysts job is to deliver accurate estimates. Meanwhile, the CFOs of […]
Do The Best Places to Work Make the Best Investments?
I first published this article in 2015. I wanted to know whether the best companies to work for end up being good companies to invest in. It’s been six years so it’s time to update the data and see what it tells us. Initial Hypothesis My hypothesis is that companies that are voted great places […]
What Is The Best Crypto Investment Strategy?
There are a number of different ways to trade cryptocurrencies. You can invest for the long term (aka hodl), you can day trade, or you can build your own quantitative crypto investment strategy. My preference has always been to trade strategies that are backed by data and show a positive edge in historical simulations. However, […]
How To Deal With Repainting Indicators
Repainting indicators can be very harmful if not used correctly. They are especially dangerous to systematic traders because a repainting indicator typically produces backtest results that are too good to be true. Repainting indicators are particularly pernicious when dealing with complicated formulas and strategies. This is because it can be hard to tell whether an […]
Growth Trend Timing With US Stocks
I’m always on the lookout for interesting ways to time the market. Using a market timing model can help to avoid painful bear markets and indicate when is a good time to buy stocks. Recently, I was looking at some of the strategies on Allocate Smartly and came across one called Growth Trend Timing. Growth […]
4 Momentum Strategies Put To The Test
Momentum investing is a successful method practiced by many investors around the world. In the past, authors have mainly focused on price momentum with a lookback period of around 12 months. More recently, authors have been including fundamental factors into their analysis. Factors such as earnings, revenue and profit margins. For example, this paper called […]
3 Simple Things To Improve Your Trading
The best traders follow consistent strategies. Many use the same signals repeatedly to show them when to enter and exit a trade. In other words, they place orders on a trading system that they have developed through trial-and-error. In my experience, this is true for all traders. Many old school traders are not even aware […]
Is This The Greatest Bubble Of All Time?
There’s been a lot of talk lately as to whether the stock market in 2021 is in a bubble. If you look at Google Trends data you can see that search traffic for the term ‘stock market bubble’ hit an all-time high in January of this year: Search data may have deflated since that January […]
How To Trade A Price Rejection Trading Strategy
A price rejection trading strategy aims to identify levels at which a price trend – either upward or downwards – will reverse as a result of the market’s reluctance to move above or below that level. Price rejection strategies work for both long and short positions depending on the previous directional pattern. For uptrends, a […]
Understanding The US Dollar Index (USDX)
USDX is the US Dollar index that is used as an indicator by traders who wish to deal in gold currencies, futures, commodities and bonds. It’s one of several indicators which help Forex traders to assess the relative strength or weakness of the US dollar against another currency.
