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December 19, 2021 By Decoding Markets 4 Comments

Should You Follow Institutional Investors?

Previously, we looked at retail trading data and found that negative retail sentiment was a better buy signal than postive retail sentiment. If it is profitable to do the opposite of what retail traders are doing, an obvious next step is to look into institutional investor holdings. Institutional investors are obliged to report their holdings on […]

Filed Under: Investing, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

November 23, 2021 By Decoding Markets 5 Comments

How To Make Money Fading Retail Traders

The past couple of years has seen a surge in retail trading which is affecting the market in a real way. People were stuck at home because of the pandemic. Add stimulus checks and volatility and you have the perfect ingredients for an increase in retail trading. Data from Bloomberg Intelligence backs up this theory. […]

Filed Under: How to, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

November 10, 2021 By Decoding Markets 8 Comments

Can You Make Money Buying Just Before Earnings?

Did you know that in 2020, 63% of quarterly earnings releases beat their estimates? That’s slightly higher than the 20 year average of 58%. Even in turbulent years like 2008, earnings surprises still tended to be positive on average. Everyone knows the game. An analysts job is to deliver accurate estimates. Meanwhile, the CFOs of […]

Filed Under: Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

October 21, 2021 By Decoding Markets 13 Comments

Do The Best Places to Work Make the Best Investments?

I first published this article in 2015. I wanted to know whether the best companies to work for end up being good companies to invest in. It’s been six years so it’s time to update the data and see what it tells us. Initial Hypothesis My hypothesis is that companies that are voted great places […]

Filed Under: Investing, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts Tagged With: investing, stocks, strategies

October 9, 2021 By Decoding Markets 4 Comments

What Is The Best Crypto Investment Strategy?

There are a number of different ways to trade cryptocurrencies. You can invest for the long term (aka hodl), you can day trade, or you can build your own quantitative crypto investment strategy. My preference has always been to trade strategies that are backed by data and show a positive edge in historical simulations. However, […]

Filed Under: Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts, Trend Following Tagged With: crypto, trading systems

September 27, 2021 By Decoding Markets Leave a Comment

How To Deal With Repainting Indicators

Repainting indicators can be very harmful if not used correctly. They are especially dangerous to systematic traders because a repainting indicator typically produces backtest results that are too good to be true. Repainting indicators are particularly pernicious when dealing with complicated formulas and strategies. This is because it can be hard to tell whether an […]

Filed Under: Stocks, Strategies/ Systems, Technical Analysis Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

July 20, 2021 By Decoding Markets 5 Comments

Growth Trend Timing With US Stocks

I’m always on the lookout for interesting ways to time the market. Using a market timing model can help to avoid painful bear markets and indicate when is a good time to buy stocks.  Recently, I was looking at some of the strategies on Allocate Smartly and came across one called Growth Trend Timing.  Growth […]

Filed Under: Investing, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

July 7, 2021 By Decoding Markets 9 Comments

4 Momentum Strategies Put To The Test

Momentum investing is a successful method practiced by many investors around the world. In the past, authors have mainly focused on price momentum with a lookback period of around 12 months.  More recently, authors have been including fundamental factors into their analysis. Factors such as earnings, revenue and profit margins. For example, this paper called […]

Filed Under: Investing, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, strategies

June 27, 2021 By Decoding Markets Leave a Comment

3 Simple Things To Improve Your Trading

The best traders follow consistent strategies. Many use the same signals repeatedly to show them when to enter and exit a trade.  In other words, they place orders on a trading system that they have developed through trial-and-error.  In my experience, this is true for all traders. Many old school traders are not even aware […]

Filed Under: Lists, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Trading Tagged With: list, technical analysis

June 21, 2021 By Decoding Markets 1 Comment

Is This The Greatest Bubble Of All Time?

There’s been a lot of talk lately as to whether the stock market in 2021 is in a bubble. If you look at Google Trends data you can see that search traffic for the term ‘stock market bubble’ hit an all-time high in January of this year: Search data may have deflated since that January […]

Filed Under: Investing, Opinion, Stocks Tagged With: investing, opinion

June 15, 2021 By Decoding Markets Leave a Comment

How To Trade A Price Rejection Trading Strategy

price rejection

A price rejection trading strategy aims to identify levels at which a price trend – either upward or downwards – will reverse as a result of the market’s reluctance to move above or below that level. Price rejection strategies work for both long and short positions depending on the previous directional pattern. For uptrends, a […]

Filed Under: Intraday, Stocks, Technical Analysis Tagged With: stocks, technical analysis

January 30, 2015 By Decoding Markets Leave a Comment

Understanding The US Dollar Index (USDX)

US dollar Index USDX

USDX is the US Dollar index that is used as an indicator by traders who wish to deal in gold currencies, futures, commodities and bonds. It’s one of several indicators which help Forex traders to assess the relative strength or weakness of the US dollar against another currency.

Filed Under: Commodities, Forex Articles Tagged With: Forex Content, usd

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About The Author

Joe Marwood is an independent trader and investor specialising in financial market analysis and trading systems. He worked as a professional futures trader for a trading firm in London and has a passion for building mechanical trading strategies. He has been in the market since 2008 and working with Amibroker since 2011.

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