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Ideas

October 7, 2019 By Joe Marwood 1 Comment

How Do Stocks React To Blockchain Announcements?

Recently a study called Bitcoin Speculation or Value Creation was published looking at how individual stocks react to the news that their firm is investing in blockchain technology. The authors found an average price gain of nearly 15% after the first announcement but this is typically followed by a price reversal over the following three […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: blockchain, trading systems

November 8, 2018 By Patrick Crawley Leave a Comment

Citron Research Flips On Tesla

Tesla are killing it in the luxury car market. Source CleanTechnica.com

“TSLA is not just pulling customers from BMW and Mercedes but also from Toyota and Honda. Like a magic trick, while everyone is focused on Elon smoking weed, he is quietly smoking the whole automotive industry.”– Andrew Left Anyone paying attention to the Tesla stock knows that it’s one of this market cycle’s most interesting […]

Filed Under: Ideas, News, Opinion Tagged With: Ideas, news

January 31, 2018 By Joe Marwood 2 Comments

10 New Ways To Develop A Trading Edge In Today’s Markets

bond prices and yields

It’s no secret that financial markets are getting more and more efficient and therefore more difficult for the average trader. So it’s a good idea to think creatively and consider what might lead to an edge today or in the future. If you don’t have an edge you can’t make money. Here are 10 new […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Lists, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: Ideas, list

December 8, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Today’s Trading Edge: Short CME & CBOE In Run Up To Bitcoin Futures Launch

CBOE stock price chart

At the time of writing, bitcoin prices were touching $15,000 having previously hit a high of $17,000 intraday. The cryptocurrency is seemingly unstoppable at this point and could well be the biggest bubble of our lifetime. The latest price increase is wild and comes as the CME and CBOE prepare to launch bitcoin futures next […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks Tagged With: Ideas, stocks

December 7, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Today’s Trading Edge – Short GBTC Stock And Long Bitcoin To Profit From The GBTC Premium

Historical premium of GBTC over bitcoin NAV via YCharts

Today’s trading edge is to go short GBTC stock (ticker symbol for the GBTC Investment Trust) and go long bitcoin in order to profit from the substantial spread between the two products. This spread is predicted to close once Bitcoin futures go live on the CBOE and CME futures exchanges in a few days time.

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks Tagged With: bitcoin, Ideas, stocks

November 13, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Can Hollywood Box Office Numbers Help Predict The Stock Market?

Box office earnings from boxofficemojo.com

When times are good the economy is strong and everyone has more money to spend. So is there any relationship between consumer spending and the stock market? A new research paper suggests there is and provides a novel way of measuring consumer spending on a daily basis. Instead of looking at more traditional measures (such […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Investing, Stocks Tagged With: investing, strategies

September 14, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Two Potential Trading Edges – September 11 Effect And Quadruple Witching

World trade center September 11th effect

It has now been 16 years since the horrific attacks on the twin towers. A day which changed the world and had a profound impact on millions of people. I remember very clearly what I was doing that day and I’m sure that you do too. It was a day that I will never forget.¹

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, trading systems

September 10, 2017 By Joe Marwood 3 Comments

Do Share Buybacks Predict Earnings?

Returns after buyback and equity issues prior to earnings annoucements

It’s a fair assumption that managers will have a better insight into the financial state of the company they’re running than outside investors. A manager will act and make decisions that are based around what they perceive the outlook for that company to be. It’s also assumed that when a company makes a corporate action, […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: earnings, stocks

August 16, 2017 By Joe Marwood 1 Comment

Using Twitter To Invest In Stocks

Example of a cash tag on Twitter

The world of social media has evolved rapidly in recent years. Traders and investors widely use various platforms both as a means of getting access to news and for trading ideas. Using social media as a trading indicator isn’t a new concept and the sentiment of tweets from Twitter has previously been shown to lead […]

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, strategies

August 3, 2017 By Joe Marwood 1 Comment

Shorting The US Ten Year With ATR – A Simple System That Shows A Profitable Edge

trade example in the us ten year

After a period of some thirty years of increasing bond prices, and with the Federal Reserve committed to a policy of gradually increasing interest rates, the time for long-based trading strategies on US treasuries could well be coming to an end. Many, including former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, have called the bond market a bubble […]

Filed Under: Amibroker, Ideas, Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts Tagged With: amibroker, trading systems

May 25, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Twitter Is The New Magazine Cover For Traders

The Business Week Bottom Magazine Cover

Traders have known for some time now that mainstream media is not a reliable source of information for predicting future price moves in financial markets. In fact, it is assumed by many investors that once a story is fully reported in the financial press, the vast majority of the corresponding price move has already taken place.

Filed Under: Ideas, Latest, Opinion Tagged With: latest, opinion

February 12, 2017 By Joe Marwood 1 Comment

A Checklist For Swing Trading Small Cap Stocks

curis stock chart

If stock picking was as simple as ticking off a few boxes it would be too easy. However, in the book Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman suggests that simple checklists and algorithms are often more effective than complex models.

Filed Under: Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: stocks, strategies

January 17, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Analysis Of US Stock Splits

xgti stock chart

Conventional wisdom suggests that a reverse stock split is generally bad for a company’s stock. That’s because reverse splits are usually undertaken when a stock is in danger of being delisted. But is there any actual evidence that reverse stock splits lead to bad investment returns? And if there is, might you be able to make money from shorting reverse […]

Filed Under: Amibroker, Ideas, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts Tagged With: amibroker, trading systems

June 28, 2016 By Joe Marwood 3 Comments

10 Ideas For A New Trading System

amibroker strategies page

To succeed in the financial markets you need to have some kind of system in place. Trading systems protect the trader from his ‘inner chimp‘ – the limbic side of the brain that relies heavily on emotions and gut instinct. The inner chimp is quick to react and respond to incoming dangers. It often makes snap […]

Filed Under: 10ideas, Ideas, Lists, Strategies/ Systems, Top Posts Tagged With: Ideas, trading systems

June 23, 2016 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Brexit: Landslide Victory For Remain Camp?

gbpusd chart brexit landslide

In a few hours time we will see the United Kingdom head to the polls to decide whether or not to stay in the European Union. This long-awaited event has dominated the financial news for the last several weeks and drawn opinion from all over the world.

Filed Under: Ideas, Opinion, Update Tagged With: brexit, opinion

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About The Author

Joe Marwood is an independent trader and investor specialising in financial market analysis and trading systems. He worked as a professional futures trader for a trading firm in London and has a passion for building mechanical trading strategies. He has been in the market since 2008 and working with Amibroker since 2011.

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