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June 28, 2017 By Joe Marwood 2 Comments

Course Update: ETF Pullbacks

etf pullbacks system equity curve

I have just included a new trading system called ETF Pullbacks for the course Hedge Fund Trading Systems Part Two. This is a very simple mean reversion system with a high win rate of over 70% and an average trade duration of 7 days.

Filed Under: Latest, Update Tagged With: latest

May 25, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Twitter Is The New Magazine Cover For Traders

The Business Week Bottom Magazine Cover

Traders have known for some time now that mainstream media is not a reliable source of information for predicting future price moves in financial markets. In fact, it is assumed by many investors that once a story is fully reported in the financial press, the vast majority of the corresponding price move has already taken place.

Filed Under: Ideas, Latest, Opinion Tagged With: latest, opinion

April 18, 2017 By Joe Marwood 2 Comments

Testing Some Ideas In Amibroker – Overnight Returns In Stocks

whiteboard trading ideas

All system developers and traders should keep a notepad on their desk so that they can write down their ideas and keep a record of any back-testing that they do. I don’t know what it is, but there is something about writing down on pad and paper that engages the mind far more so than […]

Filed Under: Amibroker, Latest, Stocks, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: amibroker, latest

April 7, 2017 By Joe Marwood 2 Comments

10 Tips For Betting Against Stocks

bofi stock chart

Stocks don’t move in a single direction and if you have enough reason to believe that share prices are about to go down, then there are ways to profit from betting against them. However, betting against stocks is much trickier compared to going long and there are several factors to consider before you short.

Filed Under: Latest, Lists, Stocks Tagged With: lists, stocks

March 22, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Is This The Best Trading Book Ever?

An excerpt from Man For All Markets By Ed Thorp: Occam's Razor

I recently finished reading the book A Man For All Markets by Ed Thorp. I have to say that I think this could be one of the best trading books ever written! Why? Simply because Ed Thorp is a true trading legend and in this book he details how he went about beating not just the […]

Filed Under: Books, Latest, Legends, Reviews Tagged With: books, gambling, latest, review, thorp

March 22, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Have We Finally Seen The Top In Stocks?

s&P 500 drops 1.3%

Tuesday morning I sent out a tweet to say that we may have seen a top in the stock market. Today, the S&P 500 has just closed down by 1.20%, it’s biggest fall in over 100 days.

Filed Under: Latest, Update Tagged With: latest, stocks, update

March 18, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Are You Ready To Earn 5% A Year – Weekend Reading – 18 March

Following are some of the most interesting trading and investing stories that I have come across on the web this week:

Filed Under: Latest, Links Tagged With: latest, links, weekend reading

March 17, 2017 By Joe Marwood 3 Comments

A Risky Strategy For Shorting Leveraged ETFs

shorting leverage etfs strategy equity curve

In this article I present a simple and quick trading strategy for shorting leveraged ETFs. Using historical data from Norgate and the back-testing program from Amibroker I reveal a potentially profitable strategy that could benefit from further development.

Filed Under: Amibroker, Latest, Strategies/ Systems Tagged With: amibroker, etfs, latest, strategies, trading systems

March 11, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Does Buffet Understand Risk? Your Weekend Reading

Following are some of the most interesting trading and investing stories that I have come across on the web this week:

Filed Under: Latest, Links Tagged With: latest, links, weekend reading

March 10, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Is Now A Bad Time To Invest In Stocks?

is now a bad time to invest in stocks?

I recently came across the following question on the website Quora so I thought I would add some thoughts. This is a topic that is currently dominating the markets right now. Nearly everyone is concerned that the market is well overdue for a correction so it feels important to address this issue:

Filed Under: Investing, Latest, Opinion Tagged With: latest, opinion

March 7, 2017 By Joe Marwood 2 Comments

Timeless Investing Advice From Peter Lynch

peter lynch advice for investing

In this article I take a look at some timeless investing advice from Peter Lynch. Lynch is an American investor who ran the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments between 1977 and 1990. He’s one of the most successful fund managers of all time averaging an annual return for Magellan of 29.2%.

Filed Under: Investing, Latest, Legends Tagged With: investing, latest, video

February 20, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Using Norgate Data Updater (NDU) – The New Platform

norgate data updater ndu

Update 6/6/2018 Norgate Data latest version has now been officially released. This includes the NDU software and historical constituents databases. This is a great service that I use for all my backtesting in Amibroker. More details are available at the Norgate Data website. —-

Filed Under: Amibroker, Latest, Update Tagged With: amibroker, data, norgate

February 19, 2017 By Joe Marwood 1 Comment

Are Stocks Approaching The Point Of Maximum Optimism?

nasdaq 100 chart monthly

Last week saw the main stock averages continue their upward price run with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq all posting all-time record highs.

Filed Under: Latest, Opinion, Picks Tagged With: latest, Picks, stocks

February 3, 2017 By Joe Marwood 6 Comments

How To Combine Equity Curves In Amibroker And Improve Trading System Performance

table two results of combining equity curves

One of the keys to successful system trading is to be able to combine different strategies together. When you are able to combine less correlated strategies, it is possible to smooth drawdown, boost win rate and therefore improve your overall risk-adjusted returns. In Amibroker it is possible to combine equity curves together so you can see […]

Filed Under: Amibroker, How to, Latest Tagged With: amibroker, latest

January 10, 2017 By Joe Marwood Leave a Comment

Markets Pricing In Very Little Risk – What’s On The Cards For 2017?

tlt etf chart

As we move into 2017 it’s clear that there are some common themes dominating the narrative. Understanding the consensus view gives us insights into what investors are expecting from the markets.

Filed Under: Economy, Latest, Opinion Tagged With: economy, opinion

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About The Author

Joe Marwood is an independent trader and investor specialising in financial market analysis and trading systems. He worked as a professional futures trader for a trading firm in London and has a passion for building mechanical trading strategies. He has been in the market since 2008 and working with Amibroker since 2011.

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