I’ve always liked a bet. After school I would go to the bookmakers to place bets on the football. I used to place accumulators that give you the chance to win big sums. When I was at University I got heavily into poker. Heads-up was my game. It was fast paced and I became quite […]
I don’t know about you but I keep hearing the same story across financial media. Apparently, value investing is no longer relevant. Both the Economist and Washington Post had articles out this week proclaiming that value investing was on its last legs. So is value investing dead or is it simply in hibernation? To the […]
Coronavirus and election concerns have really spooked the market lately with the S&P 500 down -6% on the week. There are more than a couple of reasons for this weakness. Cases of coronavirus are ramping up and there appears to be little cohesion or plan to tackle the escalating number of cases. The US election […]
It’s not long to go until the US election and Joe Biden is leading the polls. The prominent 538 blog puts Biden’s chances at around 85%, The Economist has Biden at 90% and betting odds suggest a figure around 68%. As we move closer to the election, and with some votes already been cast, it does […]
The fallout from the coronavirus has been rapid. The last few weeks have seen huge levels of volatility and the S&P 500 has dropped around 29% from it’s February peak. If you have read any of my previous updates you will know that I have been waiting for an opportunity like this for some time. […]
Popular brokerages like TD Ameritrade and Schwab have cut their trading commissions to zero and more brokers are following suit. A reader asked about the impact of zero commissions on trading so I thought I would share my thoughts below. Mixed Feelings My first impressions of this news are mixed. It’s great to have zero […]
I came across the following quote on Twitter: Unless you’re a perennial short seller, pessimism about the future is of no help. Only optimists make money in the markets. D Mutukrishnan Mutukrishnan has a great way of words and I think this quote is very true. If you’re too pessimistic about the market you’re going […]
I thought I would write an article about bitcoin because it might be valuable to go over what happened. I bought some bitcoin in 2017 and made some money with it. In fact, percentage wise it is the best trade I have made in the past few years. However, I still think I messed up […]
Before you start trading it’s important to be prepared for a long road ahead. Even if you’re born with a natural talent you will still face a number of obstacles that you will need to overcome to be successful. 1. Do You Have Enough Capital? Unfortunately the most passionate new traders are often the least […]
“TSLA is not just pulling customers from BMW and Mercedes but also from Toyota and Honda. Like a magic trick, while everyone is focused on Elon smoking weed, he is quietly smoking the whole automotive industry.”– Andrew Left Anyone paying attention to the Tesla stock knows that it’s one of this market cycle’s most interesting […]
Last week I received an email courtesy of the StockTwits newsletter with the headline ‘This Market Is Confusing Everyone’. Apparently, because the market has fallen, gone up, and then fallen again (in the space of a few days) investors are totally confused and the market is ‘faking out everyone’. Unfortunately for the headline writer, this […]
In this article I look at some of the ramifications of the upcoming UK election for financial markets. This is likely to be a less volatile event than Brexit. If the Conservatives don’t get a 50-seat majority, there is downside for the pound. But it would take a shock result to eject GBPUSD from its […]
Traders have known for some time now that mainstream media is not a reliable source of information for predicting future price moves in financial markets. In fact, it is assumed by many investors that once a story is fully reported in the financial press, the vast majority of the corresponding price move has already taken place.
I recently came across the following question on the website Quora so I thought I would add some thoughts. This is a topic that is currently dominating the markets right now. Nearly everyone is concerned that the market is well overdue for a correction so it feels important to address this issue:
Last week saw the main stock averages continue their upward price run with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq all posting all-time record highs.
Although often overlooked, the fact of the matter is that stock markets and political events are inextricably linked. Considering that 2016 was undoubtedly one of the most newsworthy years in regards to political upheaval, many traders are wondering what 2017 has in store.
As we move into 2017 it’s clear that there are some common themes dominating the narrative. Understanding the consensus view gives us insights into what investors are expecting from the markets.
Yesterday’s US election result came as a shock to many people and I’m sure you will have strong feelings about it too. Many observers took to social media to report their surprise and despair at the result.
The US election is upon us and it promises to be a huge night for the American people and of course for financial markets as well. I do not live in America and I do not know much about the political process there but it has been impossible to not get drawn into the debate.
No matter your political view there is no doubt that the financial markets are more nervous about a Trump victory than a Clinton win. This is exemplified by recent price movements in safe haven assets like gold, the US dollar and stocks.