The financial sector took a battering in the 2008 crash which led to at least two major headwinds for financial stocks: Financial companies became highly regulated. New laws came in that prevented banks and other institutions from making the big profits they were used to. Quantitative easing caused interest rates to drop to record lows. […]
Strategies/ Systems
Investigating Skewness And The Lottery Effect In Stocks
The lottery effect explains our willingness to accept poor odds for a chance to win a huge sum. It’s why millions of us play Lotto or the PowerBall despite huge odds of one in 292,201,338*. We don’t mind spending a few bucks for the chance to win a gigantic sum, even though the odds are […]
Testing The Half Day Reversal Strategy
While browsing Quantpedia I came across another interesting trading strategy called the Half-day Reversal. This is a short-term, mean reversion strategy that buys the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 and holds them overnight. The indicated performance is 57.7% per annum with a Sharpe ratio of 3.03. These are incredible numbers so let’s put […]
The Truth About Intraday Momentum
A few years ago an interesting paper called Market Intraday Momentum was published which revealed a simple trading edge for the S&P 500 ETF. According to the paper, the first half-hour in the S&P 500 predicts the last half-hour. So if the first half-hour is positive, the last half-hour also tends to be positive. In […]
What Is The Long Term Performance Of Microcap Stocks?
Microcap stocks are great for day traders and swing traders because of their volatility. But I wanted to know how well they perform on longer timeframes. In this article we analyse a decade of performance data to see what you can expect from investing in microcap stocks. Data Preparation To do this analysis we will […]
Double Top Pattern – Backtest Rules & Results
The double top pattern is a chart formation consisting of two consecutive price peaks that leads to a bearish reversal. For years, traders have claimed that the double top is a high probability short setup. This is because a double top pattern signifies that bulls are having trouble pushing the price past the prior high. […]
Testing 3 Divergence Trading Strategies On Stocks
A reader asked about trading divergence so I thought I would look into it. Searching the web I found many articles that claim divergence trading is an effective way to trade stocks. However, there is very little empirical evidence provided. In this article we test several different divergence strategies and we compare our results to […]
How To 10x Your Momentum Returns
The backbone of personal finance is to save more than you spend and invest the proceeds. The most common advice is to put your money into cheap index funds each month with a simple allocation split. But what if you want to try something more adventurous? Index investing may only provide returns of six or […]
RSI Or MFI – Which One Works Best?
RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators among quant traders, particularly the 2-period and 4-period RSI. Previous analysis and articles have shown how RSI(2) maintained a strong edge in stocks through most of the 2000s. The MFI indicator (money flow index) is similar to RSI but incorporates volume as well. MFI is not […]
The Week In Review – 11/2/18
This post is a round up of trades and thoughts taken for the week ending on 2nd November 2018. Monday. Have got a position in NTWK that went up nicely today and on solid volume. I have had this trade on for a few days now and will continue to hold it on this kind […]
