A few years ago an interesting paper called Market Intraday Momentum was published which revealed a simple trading edge for the S&P 500 ETF. According to the paper, the first half-hour in the S&P 500 predicts the last half-hour. So if the first half-hour is positive, the last half-hour also tends to be positive. In […]
Strategies/ Systems
What Is The Long Term Performance Of Microcap Stocks?
Microcap stocks are great for day traders and swing traders because of their volatility. But I wanted to know how well they perform on longer timeframes. In this article we analyse a decade of performance data to see what you can expect from investing in microcap stocks. Data Preparation To do this analysis we will […]
Double Top Pattern – Backtest Rules & Results
The double top pattern is a chart formation consisting of two consecutive price peaks that leads to a bearish reversal. For years, traders have claimed that the double top is a high probability short setup. This is because a double top pattern signifies that bulls are having trouble pushing the price past the prior high. […]
Testing 3 Divergence Trading Strategies On Stocks
A reader asked about trading divergence so I thought I would look into it. Searching the web I found many articles that claim divergence trading is an effective way to trade stocks. However, there is very little empirical evidence provided. In this article we test several different divergence strategies and we compare our results to […]
How To 10x Your Momentum Returns
The backbone of personal finance is to save more than you spend and invest the proceeds. The most common advice is to put your money into cheap index funds each month with a simple allocation split. But what if you want to try something more adventurous? Index investing may only provide returns of six or […]
RSI Or MFI – Which One Works Best?
RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators among quant traders, particularly the 2-period and 4-period RSI. Previous analysis and articles have shown how RSI(2) maintained a strong edge in stocks through most of the 2000s. The MFI indicator (money flow index) is similar to RSI but incorporates volume as well. MFI is not […]
The Week In Review – 11/2/18
This post is a round up of trades and thoughts taken for the week ending on 2nd November 2018. Monday. Have got a position in NTWK that went up nicely today and on solid volume. I have had this trade on for a few days now and will continue to hold it on this kind […]
How To Get Data From Quandl With Python Or Excel
For systematic traders, your choice of data source is important. There is no shortage of options ranging from free end of day data to subscription only real time feeds. System timeframes, markets and budget all play an important role in choosing providers. In this post we are going to take a look at a relatively […]
Simple Volatility Strategy For VXX
I’ve spent the weekend looking into volatility and I stumbled upon a simple but effective volatility strategy. The idea is to go long the VXX ETF when volatility is rising and go short the ETF when volatility is falling. This is the opposite to the usual approach which is to short volatility on sharp rallies. […]
Market Meanness Index For Amibroker
The Market Meanness Index is a technical indicator developed by JCL from the Financial Hacker website. In this article we will describe what the indicator is designed to do and provide some code for Amibroker users. MMI is a statistical algorithm based on the median value of a price series. It’s purpose is to help […]
