The trading website Finviz.com shows a simple strategy based on the RSI indicator with an annualised performance of 19.59% per pear. The rules are to go long a stock from the S&P 500 when RSI(5) crosses under 20 and to sell when RSI(5) crosses back over 50. The following chart shows the backtest performance published […]
How I Messed Up With Bitcoin
I thought I would write an article about bitcoin because it might be valuable to go over what happened. I bought some bitcoin in 2017 and made some money with it. In fact, percentage wise it is the best trade I have made in the past few years. However, I still think I messed up […]
Should You Ignore Financial Stocks?
The financial sector took a battering in the 2008 crash which led to at least two major headwinds for financial stocks: Financial companies became highly regulated. New laws came in that prevented banks and other institutions from making the big profits they were used to. Quantitative easing caused interest rates to drop to record lows. […]
Investigating Skewness And The Lottery Effect In Stocks
The lottery effect explains our willingness to accept poor odds for a chance to win a huge sum. It’s why millions of us play Lotto or the PowerBall despite huge odds of one in 292,201,338*. We don’t mind spending a few bucks for the chance to win a gigantic sum, even though the odds are […]
10 Of My Favourite Trading Websites And Tools
There are thousands of trading websites and tools out there. This list contains some of my favourites. I’ve left out a few of the really popular ones since everyone knows about them already. Hopefully you’ll find a few new websites to add to your bookmarks. Finviz Most people know about Finviz already but I had […]
Forex Markets Are Rigged (And No-One Seems To Care)
Friday brought the news that some of the world’s biggest banks have been fined $1.2 billion for rigging forex markets. What I find most amazing about this news is not that this fraud has taken place but that it has received almost no attention on social media. The forex markets have been rigged in the […]
Testing The Half Day Reversal Strategy
While browsing Quantpedia I came across another interesting trading strategy called the Half-day Reversal. This is a short-term, mean reversion strategy that buys the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 and holds them overnight. The indicated performance is 57.7% per annum with a Sharpe ratio of 3.03. These are incredible numbers so let’s put […]
The Truth About Intraday Momentum
A few years ago an interesting paper called Market Intraday Momentum was published which revealed a simple trading edge for the S&P 500 ETF. According to the paper, the first half-hour in the S&P 500 predicts the last half-hour. So if the first half-hour is positive, the last half-hour also tends to be positive. In […]
Top Slicing And Letting Your Winners Run
Watching a trade move swiftly into profit then reverse back can be a painful experience. Psychologically, these are the moments that can cause you to go on ‘tilt’ and abandon your trading plan altogether. When I first started trading I remember jumping on board fast trends in the FTSE only to see them wiped out […]
What Is The Long Term Performance Of Microcap Stocks?
Microcap stocks are great for day traders and swing traders because of their volatility. But I wanted to know how well they perform on longer timeframes. In this article we analyse a decade of performance data to see what you can expect from investing in microcap stocks. Data Preparation To do this analysis we will […]
