The past couple of years has seen a surge in retail trading which is affecting the market in a real way. People were stuck at home because of the pandemic. Add stimulus checks and volatility and you have the perfect ingredients for an increase in retail trading. Data from Bloomberg Intelligence backs up this theory. […]
stocks
Can You Make Money Buying Just Before Earnings?
Did you know that in 2020, 63% of quarterly earnings releases beat their estimates? That’s slightly higher than the 20 year average of 58%. Even in turbulent years like 2008, earnings surprises still tended to be positive on average. Everyone knows the game. An analysts job is to deliver accurate estimates. Meanwhile, the CFOs of […]
Do The Best Places to Work Make the Best Investments?
I first published this article in 2015. I wanted to know whether the best companies to work for end up being good companies to invest in. It’s been six years so it’s time to update the data and see what it tells us. Initial Hypothesis My hypothesis is that companies that are voted great places […]
How To Deal With Repainting Indicators
Repainting indicators can be very harmful if not used correctly. They are especially dangerous to systematic traders because a repainting indicator typically produces backtest results that are too good to be true. Repainting indicators are particularly pernicious when dealing with complicated formulas and strategies. This is because it can be hard to tell whether an […]
Are We in a Stock Market Bubble? 5 Key Charts
As humans, we have an amazing ability to suspend disbelief. Imagine how many personal mistakes could be avoided if we took a step back and asked, “What is really happening here?” Right now, there’s a strong case to be made that the stock market is in bubble territory. Everyone knows it, but many choose to bury […]
3 Simple Ways To Improve Your Trading Strategy
The worst traders are those that have no system. A trader I knew would make $40K in a month, then give it all back the next month. He was one hell of a trader but he had no method. He would have transformed his fortunes if he had simply stopped trading when his equity was […]
How To Build Professional Trading Strategies That Actually Make Money
I became interested in quantitative trading after discovering Perry Kaufmann’s book Trading Systems and Methods. As a day trader, I struggled to control my emotions and needed a way to trade more intelligently. Kaufmann’s introductory book opened up my eyes to the prospect of turning my trading ideas into concrete rules. Rather than trading by […]
What Trading Strategies Are Working In 2021?
2021 has been a rollercoaster of a year so far. It was only in January that rioters stormed the US capitol and Donald Trump found himself banned from Facebook and Twitter. Joe Biden was inaugurated on the 20th then we had the whole Gamestop saga. Gamestop rallied from under $20 to over $450 and Robinhood […]
Growth Trend Timing With US Stocks
I’m always on the lookout for interesting ways to time the market. Using a market timing model can help to avoid painful bear markets and indicate when is a good time to buy stocks. Recently, I was looking at some of the strategies on Allocate Smartly and came across one called Growth Trend Timing. Growth […]
4 Momentum Strategies Put To The Test
Momentum investing is a successful method practiced by many investors around the world. In the past, authors have mainly focused on price momentum with a lookback period of around 12 months. More recently, authors have been including fundamental factors into their analysis. Factors such as earnings, revenue and profit margins. For example, this paper called […]
How To Trade A Price Rejection Trading Strategy
A price rejection trading strategy aims to identify levels at which a price trend – either upward or downwards – will reverse as a result of the market’s reluctance to move above or below that level. Price rejection strategies work for both long and short positions depending on the previous directional pattern. For uptrends, a […]
Which Trailing Stop Is The Best?
A trailing stop is a stop loss order that moves with the stock price. As the stock price rises, the stop moves higher too, locking in profit and reducing the risk of a loss. For example, suppose you buy Apple at $100 and enter a $20 trailing stop. When Apple moves to $120, your stop […]
Semrush Looks Like A Winner
Semrush (SEMR) is a SaaS business directed at online marketers which IPO’d on March 25th 2021. The company boasts annual recurring revenues of $144 million with 76% gross margins and a 50% revenue growth rate measured between December 2016 to December 2020. The Semrush IPO was not particularly well received as underwriters hoped for a […]
Do Growth Stocks Make More Money?
I came across the following statement on social media that is attributed to the British economist John Kay: It’s a myth that profits are higher in fast growing industries. – John Kay This is quite an interesting comment. The past decade or so has seen a shift from value stocks into growth. I would argue […]
Genius Sports Looks Like A Good Bet (DMYD Stock)
Ever since I started this website I’ve been focused on systematic trading. I’ve talked about how to build and backtest quantitative trading strategies and its advantages. I’ve also said that I like to combine quantitative analysis with fundamentals and I have had some success doing so. Going forward, I’d love to do more deeper research […]
Can You Make Money With Sentiment Analysis?
The last few months we have seen a surge in traders looking at forums such as Wall Street Bets trying to identify meme stocks and the next GameStop. This type of trading could be classed as sentiment analysis trading. Investors attempt to make money in stocks by assessing what other investors are talking about. Sentiment […]
