In this article we will look at a simple trade setup that has been backtested on US stocks and shown to be profitable over nearly 20 years of historical data. We will then consider the benefits and risks of this setup and whether it might be possible to improve the setup with additional analysis. An […]
stocks
November Review – Disney And Alibaba Top Up
If you have read some of my recent posts you will know that I’ve started a new portfolio called Zero To A Million. This is a project where I am attempting to reach $1 million in equity by investing a small amount into the stock market each month. This strategy is part quant, part discretionary […]
What Are The Best Performing Stocks Of The Last 20 Years?
20 years ago we were in the middle of the dotcom bubble. This was not a great time to invest since many stocks were at their peak earnings. Many never recovered and a few went bankrupt. However, some companies grew out of the rubble and posted mouth-watering returns. I decided to look at which stocks […]
Trade Ideas Review – Is It Worth It?
Trade-Ideas is a stock scanner created with active day traders in mind. The scanner has become quite famous among day traders for its endless customisation, massive amounts of data and prominence among well known day traders. One of the platform’s main selling points is it’s artificial intelligence engine nicknamed Holly that identifies trading opportunities in real-time. Holly is […]
October Update – I’m Backing Britain
October was a fairly busy month. I published a new class to Marwood Research and made three more stock investments for our long term portfolio. As I mentioned in a previous post, this portfolio is part of a project called Zero To One Million where I am attempting to get to $1 million in equity […]
What Is The Truth About Zero Commission Trading?
Popular brokerages like TD Ameritrade and Schwab have cut their trading commissions to zero and more brokers are following suit. A reader asked about the impact of zero commissions on trading so I thought I would share my thoughts below. Mixed Feelings My first impressions of this news are mixed. It’s great to have zero […]
Are Treasury Bonds Really Better Than Stocks?
There’s a study that has been doing the rounds for some time called “Do Global Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?” In the study, the authors come to the conclusion that most stocks fail to beat the return on cash (1-month Treasury bills). In fact, across a sample of 62,000 global stocks between 1990-2018, 56% of US […]
26 Stock Market Strategies That Beat Buy And Hold
Profitable stock market strategies are not easy to come by. One proven path is to seek out stock market anomalies. A stock market anomaly is a rate of return or investment strategy that seems to defy the efficient market hypothesis. Today, most investors agree that markets are fairly efficient even if they don’t believe in […]
Only Optimists Make Money In Stocks
I came across the following quote on Twitter: Unless you’re a perennial short seller, pessimism about the future is of no help. Only optimists make money in the markets. D Mutukrishnan Mutukrishnan has a great way of words and I think this quote is very true. If you’re too pessimistic about the market you’re going […]
Improving Trend Following With The PE Ratio
In a previous article we looked at the effects of introducing price to earnings data to a mean reversion strategy. Although the effects were quite small, we found that we could improve a simple RSI strategy by avoiding stocks with negative PE ratios. We also found that stocks with PE ratios over 15 produced higher […]
Improving Mean Reversion Strategies With PE Ratio
I’ve always wondered whether you can improve a trading strategy by including fundamentals. For example, should you trade mean reversion stocks with a low PE or a high PE? Most mean reversion strategies use technical indicators and the RSI(2) and RSI(3) indicators are particularly popular among traders. However, there isn’t much research on combining those […]
Does This Trading System Really Make 20% Per Year?
The trading website Finviz.com shows a simple strategy based on the RSI indicator with an annualised performance of 19.59% per pear. The rules are to go long a stock from the S&P 500 when RSI(5) crosses under 20 and to sell when RSI(5) crosses back over 50. The following chart shows the backtest performance published […]
Should You Ignore Financial Stocks?
The financial sector took a battering in the 2008 crash which led to at least two major headwinds for financial stocks: Financial companies became highly regulated. New laws came in that prevented banks and other institutions from making the big profits they were used to. Quantitative easing caused interest rates to drop to record lows. […]
Testing The Half Day Reversal Strategy
While browsing Quantpedia I came across another interesting trading strategy called the Half-day Reversal. This is a short-term, mean reversion strategy that buys the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 and holds them overnight. The indicated performance is 57.7% per annum with a Sharpe ratio of 3.03. These are incredible numbers so let’s put […]
What Is The Long Term Performance Of Microcap Stocks?
Microcap stocks are great for day traders and swing traders because of their volatility. But I wanted to know how well they perform on longer timeframes. In this article we analyse a decade of performance data to see what you can expect from investing in microcap stocks. Data Preparation To do this analysis we will […]
