I have just published a new class called Analysis Of Entry Signals. This is a 1-hour class where I take 40 different trading signals and analyse their profit potential on US stocks over different time horizons, spanning 2-days to two years. The idea behind this class is to analyse a large amount of historical data […]
Simple technical analysis is of limited use to long-term investors. Momentum can last for a long time but it doesn’t have much predictive ability on a five or ten year time horizon. Likewise, indicators like moving averages or RSI are best suited for shorter-term trading. With that said, you don’t know until you test. So in […]
Technical analysis is a method used to predict financial markets that relies on analyzing price charts and patterns. This is contrary to fundamental analysis which relies on economic and business information like interest rates or earnings. Technical analysis is a highly debated subject because academics say that markets are too efficient to be predicted by […]
The double top is a bearish chart pattern consisting of two consecutive price peaks that leads to a bearish reversal. For years, traders have claimed that the double top pattern is a high probability short setup. This is because a double top signifies that bulls are having trouble pushing the price past the prior high. […]
RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators among quant traders, particularly the 2-period and 4-period RSI. Previous analysis and articles have shown how RSI(2) maintained a strong edge in stocks through most of the 2000s. The MFI indicator (money flow index) is similar to RSI but incorporates volume as well. MFI is not […]
Debate has raged for years as to whether or not technical analysis is actually a useful tool in helping to generate long run profits in the markets. For some, technical analysis is no more than hocus pocus. An approach that is based on faith rather than legitimate science. For others, technical analysis is the foundation of […]
Technical analysis refers to the study of past price action to predict future market moves. It makes use of charts, trading volume, and other statistical or mathematical indicators to gauge how the market might behave, based on the concept that the fundamentals of an asset are reflected in its historical price action.
Last Friday the S&P 500 formed a shooting star candlestick pattern on the daily chart. This is a Japanese candlestick formation that is normally a bearish reversal signal. Sure enough, the S&P 500 moved lower the next day, dropping around 15 points. We saw this happen last September too. But how often does this bearish […]
In this article I explain the RSI technical analysis indicator. I then test the indicator on historical stock market data in order to analyse its effectiveness.